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Nate Silver: Obama The Clear Favorite, But We Could Be Surprised
Nate Silver — author of “The Signal and the Noise: Why So Many Predictions Fail—But Some Don’t” and polling guru for the New York Times’ FiveThirtyEight blog— recently spoke to TPM about the state of the election, what makes a good forecaster, and the experience of writing his first book.
Which pollsters do you think have most accurately captured the state of the race to this point?
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